Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.019067 0.020957 0.022858 0.024909 0.027056 0.029232 0.031600
2025-06-22 0.015117 0.018015 0.021050 0.024444 0.028113 0.031941 0.036218
2025-06-29 0.012527 0.015908 0.019559 0.023748 0.028377 0.033300 0.038894
2025-07-06 0.010298 0.013941 0.017994 0.022756 0.028125 0.033929 0.040617
2025-07-13 0.009264 0.013209 0.017705 0.023084 0.029239 0.035970 0.043804
2025-07-20 0.008110 0.012227 0.017036 0.022898 0.029703 0.037230 0.046072
2025-07-27 0.007127 0.011366 0.016439 0.022731 0.030132 0.038404 0.048201
2025-08-03 0.006703 0.011160 0.016594 0.023418 0.031524 0.040647 0.051514
2025-08-10 0.005881 0.010378 0.015994 0.023164 0.031781 0.041567 0.053305
2025-08-17 0.005128 0.009624 0.015383 0.022857 0.031943 0.042350 0.054915
2025-08-24 0.004507 0.009000 0.014898 0.022670 0.032222 0.043246 0.056636
2025-08-31 0.003914 0.008364 0.014361 0.022389 0.032363 0.043961 0.058130
2025-09-07 0.003428 0.007887 0.014063 0.022467 0.033020 0.045383 0.060572
2025-09-14 0.002811 0.007156 0.013400 0.022072 0.033106 0.046152 0.062287
2025-09-21 0.002200 0.006347 0.012568 0.021407 0.032818 0.046441 0.063409
2025-09-28 0.001609 0.005466 0.011568 0.020470 0.032150 0.046241 0.063926
2025-10-05 0.001401 0.005244 0.011509 0.020780 0.033045 0.047924 0.066670
2025-10-12 0.001114 0.004816 0.011110 0.020605 0.033306 0.048822 0.068469
2025-10-19 0.000872 0.004424 0.010739 0.020446 0.033572 0.049716 0.070253
2025-10-26 0.000800 0.004403 0.010947 0.021096 0.034887 0.051899 0.073588
2025-11-02 0.000597 0.004016 0.010538 0.020856 0.035026 0.052621 0.075154
2025-11-09 0.000423 0.003634 0.010109 0.020566 0.035084 0.053231 0.076576
2025-11-16 0.000294 0.003321 0.009771 0.020389 0.035281 0.054006 0.078191